Monday, July 30, 2007

Decision making: a bigger model

I've covered decision making at various times, but I just found a presentation by Andrew Gelman that puts another, very important light on the matter. See part 2 (starting on slide 16) of "Combining information and group decision making" by Andrew Gelman, Roger Clemen, Roger Cooke, Jim Hammitt, David Krantz, and Francis Tuerlinckx for three different types of decisions and what that might mean to you and me in group decision making.

Interestingly, Chris Argyris' action science seems to want to move everyone to a strategy for addressing inference problems. This presentation highlights a bit of why that can be challenging. What do you think? Is Argyris' approach uniformly good? What are the boundaries to its appropriate use?

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