Thursday, January 03, 2008

CSIS and climate change impacts

I've written about scenario planning as a way to prepare for the future. I think it's useful when we do it in our organizations; I think it's useful when we read well-done scenarios others have written.

The Center for Strategic & International Studies (CSIS) recently published The Age of Consequences, describing the likely impacts of three different climate change scenarios on "The Foreign Policy and National Security Implications of Global Climate Change," as it says in the report's subtitle. In a way, it's related to the Schwarz, Gilman, and Randall effort I've mentioned previously; indeed, they refer to it.

I've skimmed or read the first third of the report, including the executive summary, and I've found it worth reading further. Rather than delay letting you know about it while I find the time to finish it, I'll post this today. Rather than making you read more of my words when there are 124 pages in the report, I'll stop and let you start reading.

Thanks to RealClimate for the lead.



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